Inna Kuznetsova
Odesa National Economic University, Ukraine
E-mail: inna.stream27@gmail.com
Valentyna Gorbatiuk
Odesa National Economic University, Ukraine
E-mail:
valentinasidorenko01@gmail.com
Tetiana Mulyk
Vinnytsia National Agrarian University, Ukraine
E-mail: mulyk_t_o@ukr.net
Alyona Piskun
Odesa National Economic University, Ukraine
E-mail:
piskunav2016@gmail.com
Oksana Pashchenko
National University of Life and Environmental Sciences
of Ukraine, Ukraine
E-mail: pashchenko@ukr.net
Oleksandr Hridin
State Biotechnological University, Ukraine
E-mail:
aleksandr.gridin2015@gmail.com
Submission: 8/8/2021
Revision: 9/13/2021
Accept: 9/29/2021
ABSTRACT
1.
INTRODUCTION
It is a well-known fact
that flour is one of the main food products of the population, so the
development of the flour industry is an important aspect of the functioning of
economic and social components of countries. In the market of
the flour-milling industry of Ukraine there are negative tendencies:
· reduction
of the number of enterprises: for the last three years (2018-2020), more
than 100 flour milling enterprises were closed;
· drop
in production: for the same period the production of flour decreased by more
than 300 thousand tons.
For successful foreign economic activity,
flour-milling enterprises of Ukraine need a competitive advantage that will
enable to create a larger consumer value for foreign consumers and will allow
to compete with world flour producers.
Namely, there is a necessary to develop a competitive
strategy based on the creation of the unique value for the consumers and to
choose the direction that would provide a competitive advantage based on it in
the long run.
An
important aspect in the formulation of the competitive strategy of the flour
milling enterprises of Ukraine is the assessment of the state of the
competitive environment of the flour milling industry, which includes the
analysis of such industry characteristics: market size, customers, base and competition.
The research of these characteristics gives the possibility to determine the
life cycle stage of the branch, and therefore to predict the further
development. As a result, enterprises are able develop a competitive
strategy, that with the regard to current market situation takes into account changes
in the in the future of the industry, helps to outstrip competitors' strategy
and ensures leading positions in the branch.
2.
LITERATURE REVIEW
The research of the
features of the flour-milling industry was conducted in many countries around
the world.
Konstantinidiset et al.
(2021) conducted a comparative analysis of the flour and food industries of
Greece. The research offers that the flour-milling industry is defined as a
budget-forming sector with high competition.
Sarkar (2020)
investigated flour milling methods for the Asian market and more that 100 types
of flour in the Asian market were identified.
Lazaro (2019) analyzed
the financial statements of Spanish flour mills to detect fraud with the
payment of industrial and business taxes in Spain. Meanwhile the study of the
peculiarities of the formation of competitive strategies of flour mills is not
widely spread.
The problems of
implementing a competitive strategy, ensuring competitive advantage and the
features of competitive strategies for different industries have been studied
by many scientists.
Keskin and Senturket
(2021) researched the unique possibilities and competitive strategies of
exporting firms. The research results proved that an efficient competitive
strategy in synergy with the unique characteristics of the firm provide a
competitive advantage in foreign markets. Identification of the possibility of
intensive competition to reduce the relationship between the benefits of
services and export performance is an important result of the research.
Malik, Ghaderi and
Andargoli (2021) determine that supply chain control is necessary to create an
effective competitive strategy. The authors proved the necessity to ensure the
transparency of the supply chain, for its thorough research and improvement.
These factors will ensure the company with a competitive advantage.
Karhunen and Ledyaeva
(2021), Adechian, Baco and Olarinde (2021) considered the key factors in the
formation of competitive strategy in various fields. In farming field, an
important factor is the diversification of social ties (Karhunen &
Ledyaeva, 2021), while in hotel business belonging to a retail chain does not
provide a competitive advantage (Adechian, Baco & Olarinde, 2021).
The researchers Liu, Wu
and Chan (2021) and Barforoush, Etebarian and Naghsh (2021) identified the
impact of implementing eco-management by enterprises on the effectiveness of
competitive strategy. According to research results, it was identified that
implementation of measures aimed at preserving the environment gives the
company a competitive advantage and strengthens its prospects for the further
development in a competitive environment (Barforoush, Etebarian & Naghsh,
2021).
At the same time,
neglecting environmental factors leads to a drop in the financial performance
of the firm, that consequently results in the loss of competitive position
(Liu, Wu and Chan, 2021).
In the process of
formation of the competitive strategy, it is important to choose an effective
method of analyzing the competitive environment and opportunities of firms. He,
Liu, Zhou (2021) offer to apply a
"three-stage" competitive optimization model. The algorithm
provides a strategic direction and the ways of protection against market risks.
Khurshid, Alhidari and
Tabassum (2021) state that the formation of a competitive strategy should be
based on the model of integrated total quality and socially responsible
management (TQM-CSR). The usage of the method and the implementation of
relevant recommendations provides a competitive advantage, an effective
competitive strategy, improving the quality of life of staff and society in
general.
Sahin and Bisson (2021)
considers that for the successful operation of airlines it is necessary to
integrate competitive intelligence into the process of forming a competitive
strategy.
In the scientific
literature the formation of a competitive strategy based on the concept of
life cycle is not highlighted. Therefore, in our opinion it’s actual to
investigate the features of this process.
The purpose of the article is to study the features of
the competitive environment of the flour-milling industry of Ukraine, to
develop recommendations for the formation of competitive strategy of
enterprises based on the concept of the life cycle of the industry and to
determine the life cycle stage of the flour-milling industry of Ukraine.
3.
METHODOLOGY
In the paper, the
methodology of Porter (1998) was applied in order to determine the stage of the
life cycle of the flour-milling industry of Ukraine. The methodology consists
in market research based on the following characteristics: the size of the
market, commodity nomenclatures, behavior of buyers, raw material base and
competition intensity. The method of statistical analysis was used to explore
the above-mentioned market characteristics.
To determine the
product nomenclatures of the flour-milling industry of Ukraine, a survey of 30
managers and 20 large flour-milling Ukrainian enterprises was conducted.
To calculate the
intensity of competition in the flour-milling industry of Ukraine, the method
developed by Ilyshev, Ilysheva and Selevich (2010) is used, which in turn
consists in calculating the indicators:
· a level of market
profitability, which is calculated on the basis of market profitability
assessment;
· a market growth rate in
comparable prices;
· an indicator of
intensity of competition;
· an indicator of the
intensity of competition by market share distribution.
A generalized characteristic
of the competition intensity is calculated as a geometric mean of listed
indicators.
Determination of
the competition concentration in the flour market was carried out based on the
analysis of quantitative (Herfindahl-Hirschman index) and qualitative (barriers
to entry / exit, the nature of products, the possibility of non-price
competition) indicators.
4.
Results and discussions
In the
analysis of competition in the market, in our opinion, the key priority is to
determine the stage of the life cycle of the market, which makes it possible to
identify the type of competition specific for the industry and possible
activities.
The stage of the life
cycle of the flour-milling industry of Ukraine is determined based on M.
Porter's methodology (Porter, 1998), which includes the following aspects of
analysis: the size of the market, commodity nomenclatures, behavior of buyers,
raw material base and competition intensity.
4.1.
Market size
To study the size of the flour
milling market, we analyzed the data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine
(SSSU) on flour production in Ukraine during 2000-2020 (Figure 1).
Based on the analysis results, there
is a noticeable tendency of decrease in the production of flour in Ukraine: for
the period 2000-2010 - (-14.5%); 2010-2015 - (-16%); 2015-2020 - (-38%).
That is, over the past 5 years,
flour production in Ukraine has decreased by almost a third.
Figure 1: Flour production in Ukraine 2000-2020
Source: calculated according
to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine data
During the marketing year
(2019/2020), the amount of flour produced for domestic consumption in Ukraine
and sent for export was analyzed, and it was found that 21% of flour produced
in Ukraine is exported to foreign markets (Figure 2).
Figure 2: The structure of
production and export of flour in Ukraine, during the marketing year (2019/2020)
Source: calculated according
to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine data (2020)
The indicator calculated by us tends
to increase in the recent years due to the growth of flour exports (Figure 3).
Figure 3: Dynamics of flour
exports of Ukraine during 1995-2021
Source: calculated according
to the data of State Customs Service (2021)
According to the research results,
it was determined that during 2011-2018 there was an increase in the flour
export by Ukrainian enterprises.
However, during the last three years
(2018-2021) there has been a decrease in the export of flour, which is mainly
due to a reduction in exports of Ukrainian flour to Korea.
According to data of the State
Customs Service of Ukraine (2020), in 2018, 40% of Ukraine's flour exports were
directed to the Korean market, by 2020 Korea reduced imports of Ukrainian
flour, so Ukrainian flour mills were refocused on the African direction, and in
2019 the share of exports to Korea decreased to 17.3% of the total flour
exports (Figure 4).
Figure 4: The share of
importing countries of Ukrainian flour in the marketing year 2019/2020
Source: calculated according
to the data of State Customs Service of Ukraine
The
results of the analysis show that the flour milling market is characterized
by a decrease in production and sales and at the same time by increase in
exports and profitability of the industry.
4.2.
Product nomenclatures
The analysis of product
nomenclatures was carried out based on the analysis of activity of 20 largest
producers of flour in Ukraine. The information base is formed by a survey of 30
managers of the surveyed enterprises on their product range, the results of the
analysis are shown in table 1.
Table 1:Production of wheat
flour at flour mills of Ukraine
Flourproducer Typesofflour |
Vinnytsia
bakery plant №2 |
Dnipromlin |
Stolychnyymlyn |
Novopokrovsky bakery plant |
CPF "Roma"B |
Bakery plant «Talnoe» |
Krolevets bakery plant |
Kulindorovskty BP |
Enpil |
Vinnytsya-mlyn |
Khmelnitsk-mlyn |
VASYLKIVHLIBOPRODUKT |
Zernari |
Mac Var Ecoproduct |
Ridnyyprodukt |
Terminal“VectorDiyi” |
Volynʹzernoprodukt |
Olenivsʹkyybakery plant |
Ahro-yuh-Servis |
Bilotserkivkhliboprodukt |
Wheatgrits |
+ |
+ |
|
|
|
|
+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
+ |
|
+ |
|
Premium wheat |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
|
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
Wheat
of the first grade |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
|
+ |
+ |
+ |
|
|
+ |
|
+ |
+ |
+ |
Wheatofthesecondgrade |
+ |
+ |
+ |
|
|
|
+ |
|
|
|
+ |
+ |
|
|
|
+ |
|
|
+ |
+ |
Whole-wheatflour |
+ |
+ |
+ |
+ |
|
+ |
+ |
|
|
|
+ |
|
|
+ |
|
+ |
|
|
+ |
|
Siftedrye |
|
|
+ |
|
+ |
|
|
|
+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pilledrye |
|
+ |
+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
+ |
|
Pilledwholemeal |
|
|
+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wheat-pilledwholemeal |
|
+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
+ |
|
|
|
|
|
|
In addition to above mentioned types
of flour, Ukraine produces flour of durum wheat, corn, buckwheat, oats,
soybeans, barley and cherry. The structure of flour production in Ukraine during 2017-2020 is shown in Figure5.
Thus, the market of the
flour-milling industry has up to 20 types of flour and is characterized by
insignificant commodity differentiation.
Ukrainian flour mills produce flour
according to DSTU 46.004-9. According to the specified state standard, flour is
evaluated as per the following general indicators: taste, smell, color, crunch,
pest infestation, content of metal impurities, humidity, ash content, grinding
size and acidity. The main distinguishing feature by Ukrainian standards is the
amount of gluten.
Figure 5: The structure of
flour production in Ukraine
Source: calculated according
to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, 2020
The results of the analysis show
that the flour-milling industry of Ukraine is characterized by standardization,
insignificant product differentiation and high-quality products.
4.3.
Behavior of buyers
Products of the flour-milling
industry of Ukraine are aimed at the needs of the population of Ukraine, the
needs of enterprises-producers of bread, bakery and flour products and for
export.
A research based on the data by SSSU
(2019) shows that in 2019 compared to 2000 the population of Ukraine has
decreased by 15%, while over the past 5 years (from 2015 to 2019) the
population has decreased by 2%.
Based on the analysis of the SSSU
report on the balances of consumption of basic foodstuffs (2019), we analyzed
the consumption of bakery products in Ukraine (Figure 6)
Figure 6: Consumption of
bakery products (bread and pasta in terms of flour source: cereals, flour,
legumes) in Ukraine 2000-2019
Source: Calculated according to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine
report on the balances of consumption of basic foodstuffs (2019)
The performed analysis indicates
that in Ukraine during 2000-2019, the consumption of bakery products decreased
by a third, while in 2019 as compared to 2015 - by 7.2%.
Per capita consumption also
decreased. In 2019, compared to 2015, per capita consumption decreased by 5.5%.
Comparing the per capita consumption
of bakery products in Ukraine and other countries of the world, it is to be
noted that the consumption of bread is related to the cultural aspects of the
producing countries. Ukraine consumes more bakery products than Australia, the
United States, Italy and Kuwait, but less than Turkey, Egypt, Iran and Syria
(Figure 7).
Figure 7: Consumption of bakery products per
capita in the countries
of the world, kg / person, 2020
Source: calculated according to data of
APKInform(https://www.apk-inform.com/public/uk)
Although the consumption of bakery products
in Ukraine declined during the research period, based on the analysis of
statistic data, it was determined that the production of this category of goods
has increased (Figure 8).
The total production of bakery
products during 2013-2019 increased by 185%, due to:
· increase in production of bread and
bakery products; production of flour confectionery, cakes and short-term cakes
-by more than twice;
· increase in the production of
crackers and biscuits; production of flour confectionery, cakes and pastries
for long-term storage - by 1.5 times;
· doubling the production of pasta and
similar flour products.
Figure 8: Dynamics of bakery
production in Ukraine in 2013-2019.
Source: Calculated according to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine
data (2019)
The results of the analysis indicate
a decrease in flour consumption by the population and at the same time point
out a raise in demand on flour by bakery enterprises.
4.4.
Raw material base
A well-known raw material base for
the flour-milling industry is the industry of grain production. According to
the analysis of SSSU data, it was determined that grain production is growing
(Figure 9).
Figure 9: Production of
cereals and legumes in Ukraine in 2000-2019.
Source: Calculated according to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine
data (2019)
Starting from 2000 to 2019, grain
production increased by more than three times. At the same time, there is a
tendency of price increase on cereals and legumes (Figure 10).
Only in 2019 there was a decline of
the market price by 8.7% as compared to 2018, although while comparing with
2017 the price in 2019 is higher by almost 2%.
Figure 10: Dynamics of grain
prices in Ukraine during 2000-2020
Source: Calculated according to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine
data (2019)
The research results
indicate an increase in the raw material base of the flour-milling industry as
well as rise in raw material prices.
4.5.
Competition intensity
According to the
analysis of SSSU data, there is a tendency of reducing the number of market
participants in the flour industry (Figure 11).
Figure 11: Dynamics of the
number of flour-milling enterprises of Ukraine during 2010-2019
Source: Calculated according to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine
data (2019)
Meanwhile,
during the research period, a significant market share is made up by privately
owned enterprises - about 60%.
With
a large number of flour producers in Ukraine, 48% of produced flour is
manufactured by 10 largest producers (Fig. 12).
Figure 12: The share of
enterprises in the total production of flour in Ukraine in 2020,%
Source: Calculated according to the Association of Flour Mills of
Ukraine (2020) (https://www.ukrmillers.com)
An
important characteristic feature of competition in the industry is its
intensity. We have carried out the calculation of the competition intensity on
the basis of the methodology developed by AM Ilishev, NN Ilysheva and TS
Selevich (Ilyshev, Ilysheva & Selevich, 2010). The results of the analysis
are given in table 2.
The first component of the analysis
is the level of market profitability (Ur), which is calculated based on the
assessment of market profitability.
Table 2: Indicators of
competition intensity of the flour-milling industry of Ukraine (2010-2020)
|
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
Market profitability |
0,26 |
0,22 |
0,26 |
0,35 |
0,66 |
0,52 |
0,04 |
0,30 |
0,32 |
-0,64 |
-0,14 |
Level of profitability |
0,74 |
0,78 |
0,74 |
0,65 |
0,44 |
0,48 |
0,96 |
0,70 |
0,68 |
- |
- |
Market growth rate |
- |
1.16 |
1,05 |
1,15 |
0,93 |
1,76 |
1,33 |
1,15 |
0,83 |
1,34 |
0,96 |
Indicator of
competition intensity |
- |
0,5 |
0,5 |
0,5 |
0,5 |
0 |
0,5 |
0,5 |
0,5 |
0,5 |
0,5 |
Indicator of the competition
intensity by market share |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
0,33 |
0,28 |
0,24 |
0,18 |
0,2 |
0,19 |
General intensity index |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
0,367 |
0,29 |
0,25 |
0,32 |
0,30 |
Source: Calculated according
to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine data (2020)
Market profitability (Rm) is
calculated based on the activity assessment of market participants, according
to the formula:
Rm=, (1)
where
Pr– is a profit received by
market participants during the analyzed period;
Vm’- is an assets of market
participants during the analyzed period;
t’-is s
duration of the analyzed period (months).
Assuming
that 0 <Rm <1, the level of profitability of the industry is calculated
by the formula:
Ur=1-Rm (2)
For 2018, the market
profitability of the flour and cereals industry is:
R2018= =0,32
(3)
Since, 0
<0,32 <1, we calculate the level of profitability of the flour market:
U2018=1-0,32=0,68 (4)
We have calculated the indicators for the
years 2010-2020 in a similar way, and only for 2019 and 2020, the level of
profitability cannot be calculated, as 0 <-0.64 <1.
The level of market profitability
characterizes the intensity of competition only in synergy with the second
indicator - market growth rate (Tm). Subject rate shows the annual market
growth rate at comparable prices, and is calculated by the formula:
Tm=, (5)
where
Vm ’- is a gross profit of the
industry during the analyzed period (thousand UAH);
Vm – is a gross profit of the
industry through the base period (thousand UAH);
t -is the period of time
(months).
It is considered that the
limits of market growth rate make up 70% -140%, so:
- if Tm> 1,4 – market is
with accelerated growth;
- if 1,4> Tm> 0,7 -
market passes the stages of positional growth, stagnation and collapse;
- if 0.7> Tm– a market
crisis is expected.
Based on this method
calculations of growth rate in 2018 were the following:
T2018=*+1=0,83 (6)
The indicator of growth
rate is a tool to determine the indicator of competition intensity (Ut):
- if Tm>
1,4 → Ut = 0 – a low level of competition;
- if 1,4>
Tm> 0,7 → Ut = 1/2 – an average level of competition;
- if 0.7>
Tm → Ut = 1 –a high level of competition.
Similarly, we have calculated
the figures of competition intensity for the years 2010-2020.
The next indicator
considered is the intensity rate of competition by market share distribution.
To determine it, we
calculated the market share (S) of each of the 10 largest producers in Ukraine
during the 2010-2021 marketing years (Table 3) according to the formula:
S=,where (7)
V – is a production volume of the
enterprise, thousand tons;
Vm – is a market volume, thousand
tons.
The results of the calculation are
shown in table 3.
Table 3: Table of distribution
of market shares of competing enterprises of the flour-milling industry of
Ukraine, during 2014-2021
Name of an enterprise |
Flour produced
in July-December of the marketing year, % |
The growth rate
of market share of an enterprise, % |
|||||||||||||
2020/2021 |
2019/2020 |
2018/2019 |
2017/2018 |
2016/2017 |
2015/2016 |
2014/2015 |
2013/2014 |
2020/2021 |
2019/2020 |
2018/2019 |
2017/2018 |
2016/2017 |
2015/2016 |
2014/2015 |
|
LLC "Vinnytsia bakery
plant №2" |
10 |
11 |
7 |
8,2 |
8,3 |
3,9 |
3,6 |
3,6 |
-1 |
4 |
-1 |
-0 |
4,4 |
0,3 |
0 |
LLC "Dnipromlin" |
9 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
4,6 |
4,4 |
4,4 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1,4 |
0,2 |
0 |
LLC "Capital Mill" |
6 |
7 |
6 |
5,3 |
5,7 |
6,2 |
6,4 |
6,4 |
-1 |
1 |
0,7 |
-0 |
-1 |
-0 |
0 |
CPF
"Рома" |
6 |
5 |
5 |
4,2 |
3,7 |
3,5 |
2,1 |
2,1 |
1 |
0 |
0,8 |
0,5 |
0,2 |
1,4 |
0 |
SА "Novopokrovsky bakery plant" |
5 |
4 |
3 |
6,4 |
5,8 |
5,7 |
3,1 |
3,1 |
1 |
1 |
-3 |
0,6 |
0,1 |
2,6 |
0 |
LLC "Khmelnytsk-Mlyn" |
4 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
1,1 |
1 |
1,5 |
1,5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2,9 |
0,1 |
-1 |
0 |
LLC "Zernari" |
5 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
-1 |
0 |
LLC "Enlil" |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1,8 |
2,1 |
1 |
1 |
-1 |
1 |
0 |
0,2 |
-0 |
1,1 |
0 |
LLC "Rivne-Flour" |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1,7 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
-1 |
0,7 |
0 |
LLC "Zaporizhmlyn" |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
-1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Total |
53 |
48 |
39 |
40,1 |
35,4 |
30,7 |
26 |
26,1 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Source: calculated according
to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine data, 2021
We have calculated the average market share
per enterprise (Sm) for each marketing year studied:
Sm=, (8)
where
Sa – is a sum of market shares of enterprises;
N – is a number of enterprises.
S2020==5,3% (9)
S2019==4,8% (10)
S2018==3,9% (11)
Based on the calculated
data, we can determine the intensity of competition by market share
distribution of the flour industry, which is calculated by the formula:
Ud=, (12)
Where
N – is a number of enterprises;
S ’- is an average
share of the analyzed year,%;
Sm - is an average
share of the base year,%.
Ud==0,18 (13)
Likewise, we have calculated
the indicator of competition intensity by market share distribution for the
years 2014-2017.
Based on the
competition intensity figures by market profitability (Ur), market dynamics
(Ut) and market share distribution (Ud), we have worked out a generalized
characteristic of competition intensity, which is defined as the geometric mean
of these indicators:
Uc= (14)
Uc===0,24. (15)
The closer the
generalized intensity index is up to 1, the more intensive the competition is.
After calculation of subject indicators,
we can conclude the following:
· the flour and cereals industry is characterized by an
average level of profitability;
· during the last 10 years the level of competition intensity
is staying at the average level;
· according to general indicator of competition intensity -
competition is characterized as weak.
Based on the analysis of statistical
data, we have made up the degree of intensity of industry monopolization
(Tables 4, 5). The degree of monopolization is to be calculated using the
Herfindahl-Hirschman Index:
G=(q1)2+(q2)2+(q3)2+(q4)2+…, (16)
where
G – is the
Herfindahl-Hirschman index;
q – is the
corresponding share of enterprises operating in the market (%).
Table 4: Calculation of the
Herfindahl-Hirschman index of the flour and cereals industry
Place in the ranking of
enterprises |
Market share,% |
||||||
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
|
1 |
13,9 |
6,2 |
8,3 |
8,2 |
7 |
11 |
10 |
2 |
7,7 |
5,7 |
5,9 |
6,4 |
6 |
6 |
9 |
3 |
6,2 |
4,6 |
5,8 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
4,8 |
4,5 |
5,7 |
5,3 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
4,1 |
3,7 |
3,7 |
4,2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
3,5 |
3,2 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
3,2 |
2,8 |
3 |
3,3 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
8 |
2,1 |
2,6 |
2,2 |
3,2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
9 |
1,7 |
2,1 |
1,8 |
2,6 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
10 |
1,7 |
1,3 |
1,8 |
1,9 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
Total, % |
49,4 |
37 |
41,4 |
45,1 |
38 |
48 |
52 |
Others, % |
50,6 |
63 |
58,6 |
54,9 |
62 |
52 |
48 |
Total number of enterprises |
641 |
659 |
632 |
662 |
661 |
645 |
|
Average share of enterprises,% |
0,08 |
0,10 |
0,09 |
0,08 |
0,10 |
0,08 |
|
Herfindahl-Hirschman index |
371 |
165 |
220 |
242 |
190 |
298 |
336 |
Source: Calculated according
to the data of “Association of Flour Mills of Ukraine”, 2020 (https://www.ukrmillers.com)
For the
flour-milling industry of Ukraine in 2019, the Herfindahl-Hirschman index makes
up:
G=(11)2+(7)2+(6)2+(5)2+(4)2+(4)2+(3)2+(3)2+(3)2+(2)2+(0,08)2*635=
=121+49+36+16+16+9+9+9+4+4=298 (17)
Table 5: Comparative table of
characteristics of flour market concentration
Signs
of concentration |
Market structure model |
Signs
of concentration for the flour market over the years |
|||||||||
With
free competition |
Wit
monopolistic competition |
2003 |
2010 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
|
1.Quantitative characteristics |
Unconcentrated |
moderately
concentrated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- Herfindahl-Hirschman index |
G<800 |
800<G<1800 |
300 |
800,36 |
371 |
165 |
220 |
242 |
190 |
298 |
336 |
2.
Qualitative features |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
- barriers
of entry / exit |
absent |
not hight |
Not high |
||||||||
- nature of
products |
similar |
differentiated |
homogeneous - on the
segment of bulk and coarse flour, differentiated - on the segment of fine
flour |
||||||||
- the possibility of non-price competition |
absent |
significant
reliance on advertising, trademarks significant reliance on advertising,
trademarks |
significant
reliance on advertising, trademarks |
According
to the results of the analysis, it was determined that only quantitative
characteristics have been changed in the flour milling market. In the early
2000s, a free competition dominated in the market, with increasing production
volumes, and by 2010 a monopolistic type of competition was formed in the
market. Since 2014, the production of the flour industry began to decline and,
according to our calculations, the market has returned to free competition,
which is still relevant today.
Based on the method of Porter (1998), we have
identified the main characteristics of the flour-milling industry (Table 6).
According
to the analyses results of the life cycle stage of the flour-milling industry
of the enterprise on the basis of Porter's method, we determine that most
characteristics of the flour-milling industry of Ukraine belong to the stage of
maturity.
Table 6: Determination of the life cycle stage of the
flour-milling industry of the enterprise based on the method of Porter (1998)
Aspect of analyses |
Branch characteristics |
Characteristics of the industry according to the
method of Porter |
|||
Introduction |
Increase |
Maturity |
Recession |
||
Market size |
reduction of sales and production; export growth; increase in the profitability of the industry. |
excess capacity; a certain volume of export; insignificant profits |
increase in sales and production; export growth; high growth rates of profitability of the industry |
reduction of sales and production; export growth; stable profits |
reduction of sales and production; no exports; marginal profits |
Commodity nomenclatures |
slight commodity differentiation; standardization; high quality of products. |
lack of standardization; slight commodity
differentiation |
standard setting; growth of differentiation; heterogeneous product quality |
slight commodity differentiation; standardization; high quality of products |
slight commodity differentiation; heterogeneous product quality |
Behavior of buyers |
mass market; saturation; reduction of consumption; increasing demand from enterprises |
mass unsaturated market; the need to stimulate demand. |
an increasing group of buyers; consumption growth |
mass market; saturation; reduction of consumption by population |
mass market; reduction of consumption; buyers -
experienced consumers of products |
Raw
material base |
rise in raw material prices; wide choiceof suppliers |
wide choice of suppliers; stable raw material prices. |
wide choice of suppliers; rise in raw material prices |
wide choice of suppliers; rise in raw material prices |
wide choice of suppliers; rise in raw material prices |
Competition intensity |
reduction of market participants; increase in the number of private labels; average level of competition intensity; market with free competition |
a small number of enterprises; lack of private labels; low level of competition intensity |
increasing number of enterprises; uprise of private
labels; high level of competition intensity |
reduction of market participants; increase in the number of private labels; average level of competition intensity; market with free competition |
reduction of market participants; low level of competition intensity; market with free competition |
Source: created by the authors
4.6.
Selection of competitive strategy
for flour milling enterprises of Ukraine according to the stage of the life
cycle
According to critical
analysis of the literature, the existing approaches to the formation of
competitive strategies are reviewed and approaches that take into account such
current business trends as: industry positioning, competitive cooperation,
value disciplines, evolutionary theory and key competencies are identified.
Under each concept a number of competitive strategies are researched that take
into account such specifics of modern enterprises as: cost leadership,
differentiation, focus, competitive cooperation, product leadership,
operational excellence, proximity to the consumer, economic growth and resource
strategy (Kuznetsova & Gorbatyuk, 2020).
The
concept chosen by the company should give it a competitive advantage in the
long run. Therefore, the management of enterprises need to precisely forecast
the possible directions of industry development, that is possible on the bases
of the life cycle concept as noted by Porter (1998). The concept developed by
the author includes 4 stages: introduction, growth, maturity and decline
The
introduction phase is characterized by a small number of companies, low
profits, high production costs and marketing expenses (Porter, 1998).
Loss-making activities may also occur, but in accordance with the growth of
sales, profitability also increases. As noted by Kuznetsova and Karpenko
company needs to be focused on the rapid penetration and set its rules of the
game" in the industry to achieve success, namely, the realization of the
benefits of the pioneering strategy.
According
to M. Porter the growth stage is characterized by an increase in the number of
participants in the industry, marketing costs reduction and the transition to
mass production (Porter, 1998). There is a fairly rapid transition from
break-even to the highest level of profitability.
Vlasyuk
(2009). offers to divide the stages into three phases: formation, accelerated
and slow growth.
At
the stage of growth, companies can choose a strategy of adapting to changes in
the industry or a strategy of initiating changes (Kuznetsova & Karpenko,
2020).
The
stage of maturity is characterized by market segmentation and product
standardization, price competition and consequently reduced profits (Porter,
1998). The company needs to choose a stabilization strategy to improve certain
areas of development, reduce expenses and optimize the value chain (Kuznetsova
& Karpenko, 2020).
The
recession stage is characterized by a decrease in the number of competitors,
reduction in profits and tight cost control. Scientists emphasize that
aggressive strategy of foreign competitors, introduction of substitute products
and aging of resources may turn to be possible reasons for the transition to
recession stage (Vlasyuk, 2009). At this phase, a relevant strategy is the one
allowing to cut the expenses before sales volumes begin to reduce (Kuznetsova
& Karpenko, 2020).
The
life cycle stages of the industry correspond to the life cycle stages of the
product. After analyzing the research conducted by domestic scientists
(Matyushenko, 2013; Knyazevych, 2012; Kuznetsova & Sokurenko, 2019), we
determine that many researchers single out the stage of "renewal" in
the product life cycle, which consists in radical change of strategic direction
of the enterprise, its technological base, based on breakthrough ideas and
technologies.
We
believe that the stage of "renewal" is also relevant for the life
cycle of the industry. Considering the tendencies of the "recession"
stage, namely the reduction in the number of enterprises, decline in
profitability and product quality free nishes and unmet needs of the customers
are natural. This leads to the need to find new means of gaining market share,
expanding the industry range and improving product quality by using new
technologies.
Though,
if in the phase of the enterprise life cycle (ELC) the stages of
"renewal" and "recession" are considered as alternative
directions, we believe that in the stage of the enterprise life cycle (ELC) the
stage of "renewal" is a consequence of recession.
On
the bases of a thorough analysis of the life cycle stages of the industry, we
have developed recommendations for choosing a competitive strategy according to
the stage of the life cycle of the industry (Figure 13).
We
find it inappropriate to use the strategies of competitive cooperation,
economic growth and resource strategy at the introduction stage, because at
this stage the intensity of competition is quite low, there are many free
market segments.
The
introduction of these strategies will lead to additional investments as
compared with other strategies which have not proved to be beneficial at this
stage.
Figure 13:
Selection of competitive strategies according to the stages ELC
Source: improved by the author according to
(Kuznetsova, Karpenko, 2020)
We
consider that it is relevant to use these strategies at the stages of growth
and maturity, when the intensity of competition and profitability of the
industry increase, and there is a struggle for market free segments.
Since,
at the stage of recession, the activity of enterprises with lower costs and higher
profits rates is efficient, we believe it is appropriate to use strategies of
cost leadership and operational excellence. At the stage of renewal,
competitive strategies that correspond to introduction stage are relevant, as
the industry operates according to the updated rules, in a changed market.
Thus,
at the stage of “maturity”, with the regard to tendencies of decline in
production it is appropriate for the enterprises of the flour-milling branch of
Ukraine to form strategies of cost leadership and operational excellence.
Since the identified strategies are aimed at
reducing expenses, the enterprises of the flour-milling industry of Ukraine
need to choose a tool that will enable to achieve minimal expenses in order to
gain a competitive advantage. Based on the analysis of scientific sources, we
determine that the main modern concepts of cost minimization include:
budgeting, quality management system, balanced scorecard, the concept of lean
production, information systems based on MRP and ERP standards (Kuznetsova &
Gorbatyuk, 2021).
Based on the analysis of these concepts, we
believe that the concepts of budgeting, balanced scorecards and quality
management systems take place on condition of implementing the strategies of
cost management and operational excellence but are not to be deemed at a main
tool, as their goal is not to minimize the costs, but partially reduce them.
The concepts of lean production and introduction
of information systems based on MRP and ERP standards are aimed at reducing
production costs, so they can be used as a tool to minimize the expenses of
flour mills in Ukraine. However, the introduction of information systems based
on MRP and ERP standards requires large capital investment, which in turn will
result in increase of overall cost of the enterprise.
Therefore, we believe that costs minimization of
Ukrainian flour mills should be implemented on the basis of the concept of
"lean production".
According to research results, the flour-milling
enterprises of Ukraine are advised to form the strategies of "cost
leadership" or "operational excellence" based on the concept of
"lean production", which will allow Ukrainian flour mills to create a
stable competitive advantage of the lowest costs.
5.
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The
results of the analysis allow us to make the following conclusions:
a) Research of the competitive environment is to be
conducted based on identification of the life cycle stage of the industry,
which allows to determine the most relevant trends and promising areas of
industry development.
b) On the basis of a thorough study of the flour-milling
industry of Ukraine, it is determined that the industry is at the stage of
maturity, and the following
characteristic trends of the industry are highlighted: reduction of production
and sales; export growth; increase in the profitability of the industry; slight
commodity differentiation; standardized products; reduction of consumption;
increase in demand by enterprises; rising prices on raw material; reduction of
market participants; increasing the number of private labels; average level of
competition intensity.
c) Based on the analysis of the concept of the life cycle
of the industry, the stages of the life cycle according to M. Porter are
investigated, and the selection of the renewal stage is substantiated.
Recommendations for choosing a competitive strategy according to the stage of
the industry life cycle are developed.
d) The enterprises of the flour-milling industry of
Ukraine, which are at the stage of maturity, are recommended to form the
strategies of "cost leadership" or "operational
excellence", based on the competitive advantage of the lowest costs. The
necessity of introduction of the "lean production" concept at the Ukrainian
flour-milling enterprises, in order to create a steady competitive advantage of
the lowest expenses is proved.
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